Forecast Stage Leaderboard (Unofficial)


There’s no live LB for the Forecast Stage since the full ground truth will be released next month. However, we can peek and guess the LB based on the latest condition up until now with quite good confidence (expected 5% error). Here is the “unofficial” LB based on MAE only (volume_50) using the data from this page.


Take this with a grain of salt as it’s only based on MAE and the latest condition until June 2024. I expect that the top ranking will be around 60-ish and it’s still possible to have a 50-ish score for this water year season.


Here is the update with the latest condition and forecast in July. There is still one issue date remaining.