Early Lead Time Bonus Prize

Just issue dates are mentioned here. Pls elaborate on how will this bonus prize be determined?

Hi @kmande,

All five subcategory bonus prizes are evaluated based on 70% Forecast Skill and 30% Rigor, as documented here.

The Forecast Skill portion will be based on the Average Quantile Loss score on the cross-validation predictions, but subset down to the predictions specified for that subcategory. So, for example, the Early Lead Time Bonus prize will only consider the cross-validation predictions 2004-01-01 through 2004-03-15, 2005-01-01 through 2005-03-15, …, etc. for each year.

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